WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged above $98 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iranian strikes and Strait of Hormuz disruptions trapping millions of barrels, representing the largest supply shock in decades per IEA analysis. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this volatility, with June 2026 contracts (CLM26) trading around $90–95, implying balanced risks of prolonged conflict versus potential de-escalation. EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories rising 1.5% for the week ending March 20—totaling ample stocks—while production holds steady near 13.6 million b/d forecast for 2026. Key catalysts ahead include the U.S. Iran deadline extension to April 6, weekly EIA reports, and OPEC+ policy signals, any of which could swing prices toward Macquarie's $200/bbl war scenario or sub-$80 relief.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
Pétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$72,556 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
90 $
60%
85 $
61%
80 $
67%
75 $
71%
70 $
74%
65 $
60%
63 $
62%
60 $
85%
56 $
87%
55 $
57%
52 $
86%
50 $
62%
$72,556 Vol.
90 $
$18,518 Vol.
60%
85 $
$3,956 Vol.
61%
80 $
$4,763 Vol.
67%
75 $
$3,555 Vol.
71%
70 $
$19,105 Vol.
74%
65 $
$325 Vol.
60%
63 $
$8,041 Vol.
62%
60 $
$11,920 Vol.
85%
56 $
$614 Vol.
87%
55 $
$397 Vol.
57%
52 $
$1,114 Vol.
86%
50 $
$248 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged above $98 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iranian strikes and Strait of Hormuz disruptions trapping millions of barrels, representing the largest supply shock in decades per IEA analysis. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this volatility, with June 2026 contracts (CLM26) trading around $90–95, implying balanced risks of prolonged conflict versus potential de-escalation. EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories rising 1.5% for the week ending March 20—totaling ample stocks—while production holds steady near 13.6 million b/d forecast for 2026. Key catalysts ahead include the U.S. Iran deadline extension to April 6, weekly EIA reports, and OPEC+ policy signals, any of which could swing prices toward Macquarie's $200/bbl war scenario or sub-$80 relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$72,556Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged above $98 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iranian strikes and Strait of Hormuz disruptions trapping millions of barrels, representing the largest supply shock in decades per IEA analysis. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this volatility, with June 2026 contracts (CLM26) trading around $90–95, implying balanced risks of prolonged conflict versus potential de-escalation. EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories rising 1.5% for the week ending March 20—totaling ample stocks—while production holds steady near 13.6 million b/d forecast for 2026. Key catalysts ahead include the U.S. Iran deadline extension to April 6, weekly EIA reports, and OPEC+ policy signals, any of which could swing prices toward Macquarie's $200/bbl war scenario or sub-$80 relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$72,556Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged above $98 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iranian strikes and Strait of Hormuz disruptions trapping millions of barrels, representing the largest supply shock in decades per IEA analysis. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this volatility, with June 2026 contracts (CLM26) trading around $90–95, implying balanced risks of prolonged conflict versus potential de-escalation. EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories rising 1.5% for the week ending March 20—totaling ample stocks—while production holds steady near 13.6 million b/d forecast for 2026. Key catalysts ahead include the U.S. Iran deadline extension to April 6, weekly EIA reports, and OPEC+ policy signals, any of which could swing prices toward Macquarie's $200/bbl war scenario or sub-$80 relief.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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