WTI crude oil futures hover around $78 per barrel, down over 2% this week amid a surprise 1.2 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by the EIA on May 29—far exceeding forecasts—coupled with China's Caixin manufacturing PMI contracting to 49.0 in May, signaling faltering demand from the top importer. OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day through Q3 at its June 2 virtual meeting, providing a supply buffer, while U.S. rig counts remain steady at multi-year lows despite record output near 13.3 million bpd. Traders watch weekly API/EIA reports, June 12 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals impacting economic growth, and summer driving season kickoff for demand catalysts that could push prices toward end-June thresholds. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on balanced supply-demand dynamics amid geopolitical calm post-Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
Pétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$29,447 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
90 $
50%
85 $
55%
80 $
71%
75 $
75%
70 $
83%
65 $
86%
63 $
87%
60 $
86%
56 $
90%
55 $
90%
52 $
93%
50 $
94%
$29,447 Vol.
90 $
$0 Vol.
50%
85 $
$0 Vol.
55%
80 $
$4,536 Vol.
71%
75 $
$3,455 Vol.
75%
70 $
$0 Vol.
83%
65 $
$178 Vol.
86%
63 $
$7,915 Vol.
87%
60 $
$11,684 Vol.
86%
56 $
$408 Vol.
90%
55 $
$274 Vol.
90%
52 $
$998 Vol.
93%
50 $
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures hover around $78 per barrel, down over 2% this week amid a surprise 1.2 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by the EIA on May 29—far exceeding forecasts—coupled with China's Caixin manufacturing PMI contracting to 49.0 in May, signaling faltering demand from the top importer. OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day through Q3 at its June 2 virtual meeting, providing a supply buffer, while U.S. rig counts remain steady at multi-year lows despite record output near 13.3 million bpd. Traders watch weekly API/EIA reports, June 12 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals impacting economic growth, and summer driving season kickoff for demand catalysts that could push prices toward end-June thresholds. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on balanced supply-demand dynamics amid geopolitical calm post-Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$29,447Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures hover around $78 per barrel, down over 2% this week amid a surprise 1.2 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by the EIA on May 29—far exceeding forecasts—coupled with China's Caixin manufacturing PMI contracting to 49.0 in May, signaling faltering demand from the top importer. OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day through Q3 at its June 2 virtual meeting, providing a supply buffer, while U.S. rig counts remain steady at multi-year lows despite record output near 13.3 million bpd. Traders watch weekly API/EIA reports, June 12 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals impacting economic growth, and summer driving season kickoff for demand catalysts that could push prices toward end-June thresholds. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on balanced supply-demand dynamics amid geopolitical calm post-Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$29,447Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures hover around $78 per barrel, down over 2% this week amid a surprise 1.2 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by the EIA on May 29—far exceeding forecasts—coupled with China's Caixin manufacturing PMI contracting to 49.0 in May, signaling faltering demand from the top importer. OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day through Q3 at its June 2 virtual meeting, providing a supply buffer, while U.S. rig counts remain steady at multi-year lows despite record output near 13.3 million bpd. Traders watch weekly API/EIA reports, June 12 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals impacting economic growth, and summer driving season kickoff for demand catalysts that could push prices toward end-June thresholds. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on balanced supply-demand dynamics amid geopolitical calm post-Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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