Recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire developments and expectations for reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven the sharp decline in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts trading near $75–76 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after dropping more than 4–6% in a single session. This repricing reflects reduced geopolitical risk premiums that had previously supported prices above $90 amid Middle East supply disruptions and inventory draws earlier in the year. Market participants are now incorporating restored supply flows and potential OPEC+ adjustments, while monitoring demand impacts from elevated prior prices. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 OPEC World Oil Outlook release and finalization details around the peace agreement, which could influence settlement levels for the June contract amid broader expectations for normalized global supply. Trader consensus in related prediction markets embeds these fundamentals through real-capital positioning, though residual uncertainty around deal implementation timelines leaves room for volatility through month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$145,165 Vol.
90 $
4%
85 $
23%
80 $
42%
75 $
66%
70 $
87%
65 $
92%
63 $
96%
60 $
96%
56 $
98%
55 $
98%
52 $
99%
50 $
99%
$145,165 Vol.
90 $
4%
85 $
23%
80 $
42%
75 $
66%
70 $
87%
65 $
92%
63 $
96%
60 $
96%
56 $
98%
55 $
98%
52 $
99%
50 $
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire developments and expectations for reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven the sharp decline in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts trading near $75–76 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after dropping more than 4–6% in a single session. This repricing reflects reduced geopolitical risk premiums that had previously supported prices above $90 amid Middle East supply disruptions and inventory draws earlier in the year. Market participants are now incorporating restored supply flows and potential OPEC+ adjustments, while monitoring demand impacts from elevated prior prices. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 OPEC World Oil Outlook release and finalization details around the peace agreement, which could influence settlement levels for the June contract amid broader expectations for normalized global supply. Trader consensus in related prediction markets embeds these fundamentals through real-capital positioning, though residual uncertainty around deal implementation timelines leaves room for volatility through month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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