Heightened Middle East tensions, including effective Strait of Hormuz disruptions from US-Iran exchanges since March, have driven WTI crude (CL) to recent peaks above $106 per barrel in early May 2026, before a modest pullback amid Gulf stabilization proposals. The EIA's May 6 report revealed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw for the week ending May 1—shallower than the forecasted 3.4 million but still bullish—countering OPEC+'s modest May output hike of 206,000 barrels per day. June 2026 futures hover near $96, signaling trader expectations of mean reversion, with upside risks from June 1 hurricane season onset, peak US driving demand, and weekly EIA releases through month-end potentially swaying end-June settlement above key thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
Pétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$118,720 Vol.
90 $
48%
85 $
63%
80 $
73%
75 $
73%
70 $
84%
65 $
90%
63 $
93%
60 $
93%
56 $
95%
55 $
98%
52 $
96%
50 $
99%
$118,720 Vol.
90 $
48%
85 $
63%
80 $
73%
75 $
73%
70 $
84%
65 $
90%
63 $
93%
60 $
93%
56 $
95%
55 $
98%
52 $
96%
50 $
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened Middle East tensions, including effective Strait of Hormuz disruptions from US-Iran exchanges since March, have driven WTI crude (CL) to recent peaks above $106 per barrel in early May 2026, before a modest pullback amid Gulf stabilization proposals. The EIA's May 6 report revealed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw for the week ending May 1—shallower than the forecasted 3.4 million but still bullish—countering OPEC+'s modest May output hike of 206,000 barrels per day. June 2026 futures hover near $96, signaling trader expectations of mean reversion, with upside risks from June 1 hurricane season onset, peak US driving demand, and weekly EIA releases through month-end potentially swaying end-June settlement above key thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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