Surging U.S. natural gas production, now exceeding 105 Bcf/d, and inventories 8% above the five-year average at 3.72 Tcf per latest EIA data, are primary drivers capping Polymarket trader sentiment for April 2026 Henry Hub prices, with futures implying trader consensus around $3.80-$4.00/MMBtu amid a contango curve. Spot prices hover near $2.50/MMBtu, reflecting mild weather and robust shale output growth outpacing demand. Key dynamics include record LNG exports (14 Bcf/d) supporting floors, but emerging data center power needs could lift demand. Watch weekly EIA storage reports and winter weather outlooks for volatility; resolution hinges on spring shoulder-season balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour↑ 4,20 $
100%
↑ 4,00 $
100%
↑ 3,80 $
100%
↑ 3,60 $
100%
↑ 3,40 $
100%
↑ 3,20 $
100%
↑ 3,00 $
100%
↓ 2,80 $
100%
↓ 2,60 $
100%
↓ 2,40 $
100%
↓ 2,20 $
100%
↓ 2,00 $
100%
↓ 1,80 $
51%
↓ 1,60 $
100%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 4,20 $
100%
↑ 4,00 $
100%
↑ 3,80 $
100%
↑ 3,60 $
100%
↑ 3,40 $
100%
↑ 3,20 $
100%
↑ 3,00 $
100%
↓ 2,80 $
100%
↓ 2,60 $
100%
↓ 2,40 $
100%
↓ 2,20 $
100%
↓ 2,00 $
100%
↓ 1,80 $
51%
↓ 1,60 $
100%
For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as four business days prior to the first calendar day of the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Surging U.S. natural gas production, now exceeding 105 Bcf/d, and inventories 8% above the five-year average at 3.72 Tcf per latest EIA data, are primary drivers capping Polymarket trader sentiment for April 2026 Henry Hub prices, with futures implying trader consensus around $3.80-$4.00/MMBtu amid a contango curve. Spot prices hover near $2.50/MMBtu, reflecting mild weather and robust shale output growth outpacing demand. Key dynamics include record LNG exports (14 Bcf/d) supporting floors, but emerging data center power needs could lift demand. Watch weekly EIA storage reports and winter weather outlooks for volatility; resolution hinges on spring shoulder-season balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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