WTI crude oil (CL) futures surged over 7% to settle at $99.64 per barrel on March 27, 2026—the highest since July 2022—reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risk premiums from escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli military actions in Iran and Lebanon disrupting Strait of Hormuz flows. This follows a $20/bbl benchmark rally earlier in March amid OPEC+'s modest output boost decision on March 1, despite seasonal demand weakness, as noted in the IEA's March Oil Market Report. With end-of-March settlement imminent on the final trading day, Polymarket traders price in elevated supply disruption odds, though U.S. strategic petroleum reserve releases or de-escalation signals could cap upside; watch EIA inventory data due April 2 for demand confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Pétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$11,611 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
84 $
92%
80 $
83%
76 $
90%
72 $
86%
68 $
95%
64 $
98%
60 $
99%
56 $
98%
52 $
100%
48 $
100%
$11,611 Vol.
84 $
$1,328 Vol.
92%
80 $
$1,578 Vol.
83%
76 $
$393 Vol.
90%
72 $
$0 Vol.
86%
68 $
$1,303 Vol.
95%
64 $
$1,577 Vol.
98%
60 $
$2,205 Vol.
99%
56 $
$0 Vol.
98%
52 $
$1,597 Vol.
100%
48 $
$1,630 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures surged over 7% to settle at $99.64 per barrel on March 27, 2026—the highest since July 2022—reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risk premiums from escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli military actions in Iran and Lebanon disrupting Strait of Hormuz flows. This follows a $20/bbl benchmark rally earlier in March amid OPEC+'s modest output boost decision on March 1, despite seasonal demand weakness, as noted in the IEA's March Oil Market Report. With end-of-March settlement imminent on the final trading day, Polymarket traders price in elevated supply disruption odds, though U.S. strategic petroleum reserve releases or de-escalation signals could cap upside; watch EIA inventory data due April 2 for demand confirmation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$11,611Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures surged over 7% to settle at $99.64 per barrel on March 27, 2026—the highest since July 2022—reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risk premiums from escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli military actions in Iran and Lebanon disrupting Strait of Hormuz flows. This follows a $20/bbl benchmark rally earlier in March amid OPEC+'s modest output boost decision on March 1, despite seasonal demand weakness, as noted in the IEA's March Oil Market Report. With end-of-March settlement imminent on the final trading day, Polymarket traders price in elevated supply disruption odds, though U.S. strategic petroleum reserve releases or de-escalation signals could cap upside; watch EIA inventory data due April 2 for demand confirmation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$11,611Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures surged over 7% to settle at $99.64 per barrel on March 27, 2026—the highest since July 2022—reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risk premiums from escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli military actions in Iran and Lebanon disrupting Strait of Hormuz flows. This follows a $20/bbl benchmark rally earlier in March amid OPEC+'s modest output boost decision on March 1, despite seasonal demand weakness, as noted in the IEA's March Oil Market Report. With end-of-March settlement imminent on the final trading day, Polymarket traders price in elevated supply disruption odds, though U.S. strategic petroleum reserve releases or de-escalation signals could cap upside; watch EIA inventory data due April 2 for demand confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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