Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTesla (TSLA) ferme la semaine du 30 mars à ___ ?
360 $–365 $ 100.0%
<350 $ <1%
350 $-355 $ <1%
355 $ - 360 $ <1%
$35,295 Vol.
$35,295 Vol.
<350 $
Non
350 $-355 $
Non
355 $ - 360 $
Non
360 $–365 $
Oui
365 $ - 370 $
Non
370 $ - 375 $
Non
375 $-380 $
Non
380 $-385 $
Non
385 $-390 $
Non
390 $-395 $
Non
>395 $
Non
360 $–365 $ 100.0%
<350 $ <1%
350 $-355 $ <1%
355 $ - 360 $ <1%
$35,295 Vol.
$35,295 Vol.
<350 $
Non
350 $-355 $
Non
355 $ - 360 $
Non
360 $–365 $
Oui
365 $ - 370 $
Non
370 $ - 375 $
Non
375 $-380 $
Non
380 $-385 $
Non
385 $-390 $
Non
390 $-395 $
Non
>395 $
Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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