Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $90-$100 range, reflecting the stock's recent close at $93.43 on March 27 amid low expected volatility with markets closed over the weekend and no major catalysts until Q1 earnings on April 16. This positioning follows a pullback from mid-$90s highs earlier in the week, pressured by mixed reactions to Netflix's latest U.S. subscription price hikes—including the ad-supported tier to $8.99—aimed at bolstering revenue but raising subscriber churn concerns. Analyst estimates remain bullish, with a median price target of $115 and Jefferies reaffirming Buy, yet short-term trading volume and broader sector dynamics anchor sentiment in the current range, with 25% odds on $80-$90 signaling modest downside risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$90-$100 82%
$80-$90 25%
$100-$110 10%
$110-$120 10%
<$50
6%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
4%
$70-$80
7%
$80-$90
25%
$90-$100
82%
$100-$110
10%
$110-$120
10%
$120-$130
6%
$130-$140
3%
>$140
2%
$90-$100 82%
$80-$90 25%
$100-$110 10%
$110-$120 10%
<$50
6%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
4%
$70-$80
7%
$80-$90
25%
$90-$100
82%
$100-$110
10%
$110-$120
10%
$120-$130
6%
$130-$140
3%
>$140
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $90-$100 range, reflecting the stock's recent close at $93.43 on March 27 amid low expected volatility with markets closed over the weekend and no major catalysts until Q1 earnings on April 16. This positioning follows a pullback from mid-$90s highs earlier in the week, pressured by mixed reactions to Netflix's latest U.S. subscription price hikes—including the ad-supported tier to $8.99—aimed at bolstering revenue but raising subscriber churn concerns. Analyst estimates remain bullish, with a median price target of $115 and Jefferies reaffirming Buy, yet short-term trading volume and broader sector dynamics anchor sentiment in the current range, with 25% odds on $80-$90 signaling modest downside risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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