Polymarket traders express diffused sentiment on Microsoft (MSFT) share price at the March 30 week close, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 49.5% across $330–$410 bins, reflecting high uncertainty amid the stock's 25% Q1 2026 plunge—its worst quarterly drop in nearly two decades. Driving this contestation are surging AI capital expenditures projected at $146 billion, offsetting robust long-term growth prospects, alongside slowing revenue momentum and geopolitical headwinds. March 27 close settled at $356.77 after a 2.5% daily decline from $365.97, underscoring volatility as bears highlight restructuring pressures while bulls eye average analyst targets near $590. Absent major catalysts this week, positioning hinges on broader tech sector rotation and risk appetite ahead of April 29 earnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour350 $ - 360 $ 31%
360 $-370 $ 29%
$340-$350 26%
370 $ – 380 $ 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$320
7%
320 $–330 $
10%
330 $ - 340 $
13%
$340-$350
26%
350 $ - 360 $
31%
360 $-370 $
29%
370 $ – 380 $
14%
$380-$390
6%
390 $-400 $
11%
400 $ - 410 $
7%
>$410
11%
350 $ - 360 $ 31%
360 $-370 $ 29%
$340-$350 26%
370 $ – 380 $ 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$320
$0 Vol.
7%
320 $–330 $
$0 Vol.
10%
330 $ - 340 $
$0 Vol.
13%
$340-$350
$0 Vol.
26%
350 $ - 360 $
$0 Vol.
31%
360 $-370 $
$0 Vol.
29%
370 $ – 380 $
$0 Vol.
14%
$380-$390
$0 Vol.
6%
390 $-400 $
$0 Vol.
11%
400 $ - 410 $
$0 Vol.
7%
>$410
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders express diffused sentiment on Microsoft (MSFT) share price at the March 30 week close, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 49.5% across $330–$410 bins, reflecting high uncertainty amid the stock's 25% Q1 2026 plunge—its worst quarterly drop in nearly two decades. Driving this contestation are surging AI capital expenditures projected at $146 billion, offsetting robust long-term growth prospects, alongside slowing revenue momentum and geopolitical headwinds. March 27 close settled at $356.77 after a 2.5% daily decline from $365.97, underscoring volatility as bears highlight restructuring pressures while bulls eye average analyst targets near $590. Absent major catalysts this week, positioning hinges on broader tech sector rotation and risk appetite ahead of April 29 earnings.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders express diffused sentiment on Microsoft (MSFT) share price at the March 30 week close, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 49.5% across $330–$410 bins, reflecting high uncertainty amid the stock's 25% Q1 2026 plunge—its worst quarterly drop in nearly two decades. Driving this contestation are surging AI capital expenditures projected at $146 billion, offsetting robust long-term growth prospects, alongside slowing revenue momentum and geopolitical headwinds. March 27 close settled at $356.77 after a 2.5% daily decline from $365.97, underscoring volatility as bears highlight restructuring pressures while bulls eye average analyst targets near $590. Absent major catalysts this week, positioning hinges on broader tech sector rotation and risk appetite ahead of April 29 earnings.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders express diffused sentiment on Microsoft (MSFT) share price at the March 30 week close, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 49.5% across $330–$410 bins, reflecting high uncertainty amid the stock's 25% Q1 2026 plunge—its worst quarterly drop in nearly two decades. Driving this contestation are surging AI capital expenditures projected at $146 billion, offsetting robust long-term growth prospects, alongside slowing revenue momentum and geopolitical headwinds. March 27 close settled at $356.77 after a 2.5% daily decline from $365.97, underscoring volatility as bears highlight restructuring pressures while bulls eye average analyst targets near $590. Absent major catalysts this week, positioning hinges on broader tech sector rotation and risk appetite ahead of April 29 earnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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