Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above the $975 strike by March 31, 2025, with yes shares trading at 62% implied probability, driven by robust AI chip demand and recent Blackwell platform launches boosting Q4 guidance expectations. NVDA shares hover near $138 post-10:1 split, up 180% YTD on hyperscaler capex surges from Meta and Microsoft, though lofty 45x forward P/E invites volatility risks amid potential China export curbs. Key catalysts include February 26 earnings for revenue beats and March 18 GTC conference for Hopper successor updates; Fed rate cuts could further fuel tech rally, but any guidance miss might trigger profit-taking toward historical support at $120. Market-implied odds reflect capital-weighted consensus on sustained 30%+ YoY growth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$24,543 Vol.
120 $
100%
130 $
96%
140 $
99%
150 $
97%
160 $
88%
170 $
70%
180 $
37%
190 $
7%
200 $
2%
210 $
2%
220 $
1%
230 $
6%
240 $
1%
$24,543 Vol.
120 $
100%
130 $
96%
140 $
99%
150 $
97%
160 $
88%
170 $
70%
180 $
37%
190 $
7%
200 $
2%
210 $
2%
220 $
1%
230 $
6%
240 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above the $975 strike by March 31, 2025, with yes shares trading at 62% implied probability, driven by robust AI chip demand and recent Blackwell platform launches boosting Q4 guidance expectations. NVDA shares hover near $138 post-10:1 split, up 180% YTD on hyperscaler capex surges from Meta and Microsoft, though lofty 45x forward P/E invites volatility risks amid potential China export curbs. Key catalysts include February 26 earnings for revenue beats and March 18 GTC conference for Hopper successor updates; Fed rate cuts could further fuel tech rally, but any guidance miss might trigger profit-taking toward historical support at $120. Market-implied odds reflect capital-weighted consensus on sustained 30%+ YoY growth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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