Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor after being stripped of titles, was arrested February 19 on suspicion of misconduct in public office for allegedly sharing confidential trade reports with Jeffrey Epstein during his 2010 role as UK trade envoy, as revealed in recent Epstein files. Released after questioning and a home search the next day, he remains under investigation with no formal charges, indictment, or trial date over five weeks later. Traders price "No" at 88.5% reflecting the high bar for prosecution on decade-old claims, rarity of convictions carrying prison sentences for such offenses among elites, and lack of escalatory developments like new evidence or prosecutorial announcements amid ongoing police review.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$201,819 Vol.
$201,819 Vol.
Oui
$201,819 Vol.
$201,819 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor after being stripped of titles, was arrested February 19 on suspicion of misconduct in public office for allegedly sharing confidential trade reports with Jeffrey Epstein during his 2010 role as UK trade envoy, as revealed in recent Epstein files. Released after questioning and a home search the next day, he remains under investigation with no formal charges, indictment, or trial date over five weeks later. Traders price "No" at 88.5% reflecting the high bar for prosecution on decade-old claims, rarity of convictions carrying prison sentences for such offenses among elites, and lack of escalatory developments like new evidence or prosecutorial announcements amid ongoing police review.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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