Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges despite his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office during his tenure as UK trade envoy. Released after 11 hours of questioning amid Epstein files revelations alleging shared confidential information and misuse of public funds, the Metropolitan Police investigation continues—including interviews with former protection officers and requests for U.S. DOJ assistance as of mid-March—but prosecutors have not advanced to charges, a prerequisite for trial and sentencing under the common law offense carrying a maximum life term. No developments in the past 30 days indicate imminent indictment, reinforcing skepticism of conviction amid procedural hurdles and historical lack of criminal proceedings beyond his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$201,803 Vol.
$201,803 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oui
$201,803 Vol.
$201,803 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges despite his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office during his tenure as UK trade envoy. Released after 11 hours of questioning amid Epstein files revelations alleging shared confidential information and misuse of public funds, the Metropolitan Police investigation continues—including interviews with former protection officers and requests for U.S. DOJ assistance as of mid-March—but prosecutors have not advanced to charges, a prerequisite for trial and sentencing under the common law offense carrying a maximum life term. No developments in the past 30 days indicate imminent indictment, reinforcing skepticism of conviction amid procedural hurdles and historical lack of criminal proceedings beyond his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$201,803Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges despite his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office during his tenure as UK trade envoy. Released after 11 hours of questioning amid Epstein files revelations alleging shared confidential information and misuse of public funds, the Metropolitan Police investigation continues—including interviews with former protection officers and requests for U.S. DOJ assistance as of mid-March—but prosecutors have not advanced to charges, a prerequisite for trial and sentencing under the common law offense carrying a maximum life term. No developments in the past 30 days indicate imminent indictment, reinforcing skepticism of conviction amid procedural hurdles and historical lack of criminal proceedings beyond his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$201,803Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges despite his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office during his tenure as UK trade envoy. Released after 11 hours of questioning amid Epstein files revelations alleging shared confidential information and misuse of public funds, the Metropolitan Police investigation continues—including interviews with former protection officers and requests for U.S. DOJ assistance as of mid-March—but prosecutors have not advanced to charges, a prerequisite for trial and sentencing under the common law offense carrying a maximum life term. No developments in the past 30 days indicate imminent indictment, reinforcing skepticism of conviction amid procedural hurdles and historical lack of criminal proceedings beyond his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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