Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted of sex trafficking minors in Jeffrey Epstein's network, at just 7.5% by end-2026, reflecting the president's repeated disavowals and intense political backlash. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating April 17 there is a "good chance" of clemency once Epstein file scrutiny subsides—no formal request has been filed—Trump has consistently said he "hasn't thought about it" and White House officials confirm it is not under consideration. Bipartisan congressional opposition, including Sen. Jacky Rosen's February resolution against clemency and ongoing House probes into Maxwell's non-cooperation, underscores significant barriers amid heightened public sensitivity to Epstein-related accountability. Late scandals or shifts could alter odds, but current inaction dominates sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$539,331 Vol.
$539,331 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$539,331 Vol.
$539,331 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted of sex trafficking minors in Jeffrey Epstein's network, at just 7.5% by end-2026, reflecting the president's repeated disavowals and intense political backlash. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating April 17 there is a "good chance" of clemency once Epstein file scrutiny subsides—no formal request has been filed—Trump has consistently said he "hasn't thought about it" and White House officials confirm it is not under consideration. Bipartisan congressional opposition, including Sen. Jacky Rosen's February resolution against clemency and ongoing House probes into Maxwell's non-cooperation, underscores significant barriers amid heightened public sensitivity to Epstein-related accountability. Late scandals or shifts could alter odds, but current inaction dominates sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$539,331Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted of sex trafficking minors in Jeffrey Epstein's network, at just 7.5% by end-2026, reflecting the president's repeated disavowals and intense political backlash. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating April 17 there is a "good chance" of clemency once Epstein file scrutiny subsides—no formal request has been filed—Trump has consistently said he "hasn't thought about it" and White House officials confirm it is not under consideration. Bipartisan congressional opposition, including Sen. Jacky Rosen's February resolution against clemency and ongoing House probes into Maxwell's non-cooperation, underscores significant barriers amid heightened public sensitivity to Epstein-related accountability. Late scandals or shifts could alter odds, but current inaction dominates sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$539,331Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted of sex trafficking minors in Jeffrey Epstein's network, at just 7.5% by end-2026, reflecting the president's repeated disavowals and intense political backlash. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating April 17 there is a "good chance" of clemency once Epstein file scrutiny subsides—no formal request has been filed—Trump has consistently said he "hasn't thought about it" and White House officials confirm it is not under consideration. Bipartisan congressional opposition, including Sen. Jacky Rosen's February resolution against clemency and ongoing House probes into Maxwell's non-cooperation, underscores significant barriers amid heightened public sensitivity to Epstein-related accountability. Late scandals or shifts could alter odds, but current inaction dominates sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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