Trader consensus overwhelmingly expects no criminal charges against Bill Gates by June 30, driven by the complete absence of official announcements, active federal probes, or credible legal developments from the Department of Justice or state attorneys general. Persistent online speculation around Epstein ties, vaccine initiatives, or philanthropy lacks substantiation from primary sources, fostering high confidence as the deadline nears without indicators of indictment. Markets price this at 95.4% "No," aligning with historical patterns where high-profile probes feature leaks or filings beforehand. A surprise shift could stem from abrupt unsealed documents or new witness testimony, though such events remain improbable absent prior signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
Oui
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly expects no criminal charges against Bill Gates by June 30, driven by the complete absence of official announcements, active federal probes, or credible legal developments from the Department of Justice or state attorneys general. Persistent online speculation around Epstein ties, vaccine initiatives, or philanthropy lacks substantiation from primary sources, fostering high confidence as the deadline nears without indicators of indictment. Markets price this at 95.4% "No," aligning with historical patterns where high-profile probes feature leaks or filings beforehand. A surprise shift could stem from abrupt unsealed documents or new witness testimony, though such events remain improbable absent prior signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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