Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations remain modest around 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter, per trader consensus and ECB staff projections implying 0.9% annual expansion, buoyed by Q4 2025's revised 0.2% q/q gain despite downward adjustments from initial estimates. Surging headline inflation to 2.5% in March—up from 1.9%—driven by Middle East tensions and energy price shocks has clouded the outlook, prompting the ECB to hold key rates steady on March 19 while raising 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. Declining economic sentiment indicators and rising input costs signal headwinds, with Eurostat's preliminary flash estimate on April 29 as the key near-term catalyst ahead of the ECB's May policy review.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCroissance du PIB de la zone euro au T1 2026
Croissance du PIB de la zone euro au T1 2026
NOUVEAU
30 avr. 2026
<0,5 %
11%
0,5-0,8 %
35%
0,9-1,2 %
52%
1,3-1,6 %
32%
1,7-2,0 %
31%
2,1-2,4 %
26%
2,5 %+
27%
$4,725 Vol.
<0,5 %
$0 Vol.
11%
0,5-0,8 %
$0 Vol.
35%
0,9-1,2 %
$0 Vol.
52%
1,3-1,6 %
$22 Vol.
32%
1,7-2,0 %
$3,639 Vol.
31%
2,1-2,4 %
$0 Vol.
26%
2,5 %+
$1,064 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations remain modest around 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter, per trader consensus and ECB staff projections implying 0.9% annual expansion, buoyed by Q4 2025's revised 0.2% q/q gain despite downward adjustments from initial estimates. Surging headline inflation to 2.5% in March—up from 1.9%—driven by Middle East tensions and energy price shocks has clouded the outlook, prompting the ECB to hold key rates steady on March 19 while raising 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. Declining economic sentiment indicators and rising input costs signal headwinds, with Eurostat's preliminary flash estimate on April 29 as the key near-term catalyst ahead of the ECB's May policy review.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$4,725Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations remain modest around 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter, per trader consensus and ECB staff projections implying 0.9% annual expansion, buoyed by Q4 2025's revised 0.2% q/q gain despite downward adjustments from initial estimates. Surging headline inflation to 2.5% in March—up from 1.9%—driven by Middle East tensions and energy price shocks has clouded the outlook, prompting the ECB to hold key rates steady on March 19 while raising 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. Declining economic sentiment indicators and rising input costs signal headwinds, with Eurostat's preliminary flash estimate on April 29 as the key near-term catalyst ahead of the ECB's May policy review.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,725Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations remain modest around 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter, per trader consensus and ECB staff projections implying 0.9% annual expansion, buoyed by Q4 2025's revised 0.2% q/q gain despite downward adjustments from initial estimates. Surging headline inflation to 2.5% in March—up from 1.9%—driven by Middle East tensions and energy price shocks has clouded the outlook, prompting the ECB to hold key rates steady on March 19 while raising 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. Declining economic sentiment indicators and rising input costs signal headwinds, with Eurostat's preliminary flash estimate on April 29 as the key near-term catalyst ahead of the ECB's May policy review.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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