President Trump's November 2024 statement to the New York Times that he has no plans to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before his term ends in May 2026 anchors trader consensus at 98.7% against a lawsuit by March 31, underscoring respect for Fed statutory independence amid past criticisms of interest rate policy. No subsequent public threats, legal filings, or escalations have emerged in the past 30 days, reinforcing high confidence in the status quo. Legal barriers, including protections against firing for policy disagreements, further deter action. While late-breaking developments like a policy rift or executive maneuver could shift odds, traders see negligible risk before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
Oui
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant.
An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant.
An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's November 2024 statement to the New York Times that he has no plans to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before his term ends in May 2026 anchors trader consensus at 98.7% against a lawsuit by March 31, underscoring respect for Fed statutory independence amid past criticisms of interest rate policy. No subsequent public threats, legal filings, or escalations have emerged in the past 30 days, reinforcing high confidence in the status quo. Legal barriers, including protections against firing for policy disagreements, further deter action. While late-breaking developments like a policy rift or executive maneuver could shift odds, traders see negligible risk before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes