Traders on Polymarket assign a 62.5% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at 6.50% for its April 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting February CPI inflation easing to 5.09% year-over-year—its softest in five months—yet persistently above the 4% target amid sticky food prices and monsoon uncertainties. Robust Q3 fiscal 2024 GDP growth of 8.4% bolsters the neutral stance adopted in February, curbing cut expectations at 23% despite disinflation progress, while hike odds at 13.6% remain slim absent renewed inflationary pressures. Global factors, including steady U.S. Fed funds rate, reinforce RBI's cautious positioning ahead of March CPI data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAucun changement 73%
Augmentation 23.6%
Diminution 5%
Diminution
23%
Aucun changement
63%
Augmentation
14%
Aucun changement 73%
Augmentation 23.6%
Diminution 5%
Diminution
23%
Aucun changement
63%
Augmentation
14%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket assign a 62.5% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at 6.50% for its April 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting February CPI inflation easing to 5.09% year-over-year—its softest in five months—yet persistently above the 4% target amid sticky food prices and monsoon uncertainties. Robust Q3 fiscal 2024 GDP growth of 8.4% bolsters the neutral stance adopted in February, curbing cut expectations at 23% despite disinflation progress, while hike odds at 13.6% remain slim absent renewed inflationary pressures. Global factors, including steady U.S. Fed funds rate, reinforce RBI's cautious positioning ahead of March CPI data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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