Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Russie en avril ?
Décision de la Banque de Russie en avril ?
Baisse 84%
Aucun changement 16%
Augmentation <1%
$19,732 Vol.
$19,732 Vol.
Baisse
84%
Aucun changement
16%
Augmentation
1%
Baisse 84%
Aucun changement 16%
Augmentation <1%
$19,732 Vol.
$19,732 Vol.
Baisse
84%
Aucun changement
16%
Augmentation
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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