Polymarket traders' unanimous consensus on a Bank of Russia key rate decrease—now at 100% implied probability—stems from the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut the benchmark by 50 basis points to 14.5%, marking the eighth consecutive easing move from a 2025 peak amid disinflation toward the 4% target. Sustained price growth slowdown to 4.5–5.5% projected for 2026, coupled with economic contraction signals and Reuters polls forecasting the trim, drove pre-announcement positioning, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds sentiment backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require abrupt inflation reacceleration from fiscal loosening or external shocks, though the regulator signaled data-dependent further cuts at upcoming meetings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Russie en avril ?
Baisse 100.0%
Aucun changement <1%
Augmentation <1%
$271,684 Vol.
$271,684 Vol.
Baisse
Oui
Aucun changement
Non
Augmentation
Non
Baisse 100.0%
Aucun changement <1%
Augmentation <1%
$271,684 Vol.
$271,684 Vol.
Baisse
Oui
Aucun changement
Non
Augmentation
Non
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Polymarket traders' unanimous consensus on a Bank of Russia key rate decrease—now at 100% implied probability—stems from the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut the benchmark by 50 basis points to 14.5%, marking the eighth consecutive easing move from a 2025 peak amid disinflation toward the 4% target. Sustained price growth slowdown to 4.5–5.5% projected for 2026, coupled with economic contraction signals and Reuters polls forecasting the trim, drove pre-announcement positioning, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds sentiment backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require abrupt inflation reacceleration from fiscal loosening or external shocks, though the regulator signaled data-dependent further cuts at upcoming meetings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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