Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting the central bank's dovish March 20 decision to cut by 50 basis points to 15%—its seventh consecutive reduction from a 21% peak amid moderating inflation at 5.9% year-over-year as of mid-March. This trader consensus anticipates further easing as price growth slows toward the 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast, outweighing pro-inflationary risks from Middle East tensions and fiscal deficits. No-change odds at 15.5% capture caution over geopolitical spillovers, while hikes at 0.8% appear negligible given the disinflation trajectory and balanced growth outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Russie en avril ?
Décision de la Banque de Russie en avril ?
Baisse 85%
Aucun changement 16%
Augmentation <1%
$19,738 Vol.
$19,738 Vol.
Baisse
85%
Aucun changement
16%
Augmentation
1%
Baisse 85%
Aucun changement 16%
Augmentation <1%
$19,738 Vol.
$19,738 Vol.
Baisse
85%
Aucun changement
16%
Augmentation
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting the central bank's dovish March 20 decision to cut by 50 basis points to 15%—its seventh consecutive reduction from a 21% peak amid moderating inflation at 5.9% year-over-year as of mid-March. This trader consensus anticipates further easing as price growth slows toward the 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast, outweighing pro-inflationary risks from Middle East tensions and fiscal deficits. No-change odds at 15.5% capture caution over geopolitical spillovers, while hikes at 0.8% appear negligible given the disinflation trajectory and balanced growth outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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