Fed decision in January?

Economic Policy

Politics

Fed decision in January?

98%

No change

$445m Vol.

$11m today

$21m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 6 days

Bank of Japan decision in January?

Economic Policy

Economy

Bank of Japan decision in January?

99%

No change

$3m Vol.

$619k today

$216k Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Fed decision in March?

Economic Policy

Politics

Fed decision in March?

80%

No change

$3m Vol.

$260k today

$570k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economic Policy

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

27%

3 (75 bps)

$3m Vol.

$71.6k today

$854k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Economic Policy

Finance

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

98%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$968k Vol.

$83.6k Liq.

15

Ends in 9 days

Fed rate cut by...?

Economic Policy

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

61%

June Meeting

$428k Vol.

$99.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Economic Policy

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

22%

3.0%

$63.9k Vol.

$190k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February

Economic Policy

Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February

52%

Increase

$99.1k Vol.

$9.8k Liq.

Ends in 12 days

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Economic Policy

Economy

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

98%

No change

$322k Vol.

$71.7k Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

Economic Policy

Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

77%

No change

$118k Vol.

$12.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Economic Policy

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$588k Vol.

$131k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Economic Policy

GDP

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

59%

>3.5%

$247k Vol.

$33.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

Fed decision in April?

Economic Policy

Politics

Fed decision in April?

73%

No change

$739k Vol.

$351k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

US recession by end of 2026?

Economic Policy

Business

US recession by end of 2026?

23%

$167k Vol.

$36.5k Liq.

22

Ends in about 1 year

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economic Policy

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

94%

↓ 3.25%

$466k Vol.

$141k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

Economic Policy

Politics

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

24%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$7.0k Vol.

$99.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

GDP growth in 2025

GDP growth in 2025

86%

2.0–2.5%

$854k Vol.

$36.7k Liq.

15

Ends in 7 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

Economic Policy

Brazil

Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

77%

Decrease

$24.4k Vol.

$4.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Economic Policy

Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

75%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$486k Vol.

$94.3k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

GDP growth in 2026

Economic Policy

GDP

GDP growth in 2026

90%

>2.5%

$8.6k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year