Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Trump visit Gaza in first 100 days?

<1% chance

$272,129 Vol.

Rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip between February 6, and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including visits to buffer zones.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$272,129
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Feb 7, 2025, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Trump visit Gaza in first 100 days?

<1% chance

$272,129 Vol.

About

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip between February 6, and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including visits to buffer zones.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$272,129
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Feb 7, 2025, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.