President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, citing strategic Arctic security against China and Russia, has met firm rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenland Premier Jens-Frederik Nielsen, who emphasize sovereignty is non-negotiable and affirm loyalty to Denmark. Recent developments, including Trump's January 2026 Davos call for immediate purchase negotiations, appointment of a U.S. special envoy, and hints at "easy or hard" paths, elicited European backlash and no diplomatic progress amid estimated $700 billion-plus costs. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects these political barriers, NATO ally tensions, and historical precedents like 2019's outright dismissal, with slim odds shifting only via unforeseen bilateral deal before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$31,070,807 Vol.
$31,070,807 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$31,070,807 Vol.
$31,070,807 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, citing strategic Arctic security against China and Russia, has met firm rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenland Premier Jens-Frederik Nielsen, who emphasize sovereignty is non-negotiable and affirm loyalty to Denmark. Recent developments, including Trump's January 2026 Davos call for immediate purchase negotiations, appointment of a U.S. special envoy, and hints at "easy or hard" paths, elicited European backlash and no diplomatic progress amid estimated $700 billion-plus costs. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects these political barriers, NATO ally tensions, and historical precedents like 2019's outright dismissal, with slim odds shifting only via unforeseen bilateral deal before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$31,070,807End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, citing strategic Arctic security against China and Russia, has met firm rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenland Premier Jens-Frederik Nielsen, who emphasize sovereignty is non-negotiable and affirm loyalty to Denmark. Recent developments, including Trump's January 2026 Davos call for immediate purchase negotiations, appointment of a U.S. special envoy, and hints at "easy or hard" paths, elicited European backlash and no diplomatic progress amid estimated $700 billion-plus costs. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects these political barriers, NATO ally tensions, and historical precedents like 2019's outright dismissal, with slim odds shifting only via unforeseen bilateral deal before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$31,070,906End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, citing strategic Arctic security against China and Russia, has met firm rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenland Premier Jens-Frederik Nielsen, who emphasize sovereignty is non-negotiable and affirm loyalty to Denmark. Recent developments, including Trump's January 2026 Davos call for immediate purchase negotiations, appointment of a U.S. special envoy, and hints at "easy or hard" paths, elicited European backlash and no diplomatic progress amid estimated $700 billion-plus costs. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects these political barriers, NATO ally tensions, and historical precedents like 2019's outright dismissal, with slim odds shifting only via unforeseen bilateral deal before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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