Will the Government shutdown end by...?
$12,642,578 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
October 24
$150,228 Vol.
No
October 24
$150,228 Vol.
No
October 31
$291,889 Vol.
No
October 31
$291,889 Vol.
No
November 7
$752,512 Vol.
No
November 7
$752,512 Vol.
No
November 15
$4,194,775 Vol.
Yes
November 15
$4,194,775 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,131,241 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,131,241 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$2,429,313 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$2,429,313 Vol.
Yes
January 31
$692,619 Vol.
Yes
January 31
$692,619 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Created At: Oct 17, 2025, 9:27 PM
Volume
$12,642,578End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Oct 17, 2025, 9:27 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$12,642,578 Vol.
Will the Government shutdown end by...?
October 24
$150,228 Vol.
No
October 31
$291,889 Vol.
No
November 7
$752,512 Vol.
No
November 15
$4,194,775 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,131,241 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$2,429,313 Vol.
Yes
January 31
$692,619 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$12,642,578End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Oct 17, 2025, 9:27 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...
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