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Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?

$198,963 Vol.

Aug 20, 2025
Polymarket

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Ekonomichma railway station located in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast by August 20, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dobropillia+train+station+zoom.png

Train station Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dobropillia+train+station.jpeg

Dobropillia location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dobropillia.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/6e3w6NizH7yLbdpz9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$198,963
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Aug 11, 2025, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Ekonomichma railway station located in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast by August 20, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dobropillia+train+station+zoom.png Train station Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dobropillia+train+station.jpeg Dobropillia location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dobropillia.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/6e3w6NizH7yLbdpz9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?

$198,963 Vol.

Polymarket

August 20

$29,983 Vol.

No

August 31

$69,485 Vol.

No

September 30

$50,352 Vol.

No

November 30

$49,142 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$198,963
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Aug 11, 2025, 4:05 PM ET

Beware of external links.