Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

$11,426,525 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$11,426,525 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Bannon

$401,894 Vol.

No

Diddy

$851,756 Vol.

No

Edward Snowden

$338,707 Vol.

No

Roger Stone

$60,731 Vol.

No

Changpeng Zhao

$3,360,909 Vol.

Yes

Roger Ver

$839,016 Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$353,669 Vol.

No

Matt Gaetz

$63,993 Vol.

No

Bob Menendez

$186,245 Vol.

No

Eric Adams

$123,338 Vol.

No

Julian Assange

$85,693 Vol.

No

Hunter Biden

$476,130 Vol.

No

Daniel Penny

$136,538 Vol.

No

Joe Exotic

$99,994 Vol.

No

Sam Bankman-Fried

$1,797,802 Vol.

No

Himself

$206,954 Vol.

No

Young Thug

$76,619 Vol.

No

Rudy Giuliani

$79,975 Vol.

Yes

Derek Chauvin

$277,718 Vol.

No

George Santos

$192,403 Vol.

Yes

Do Kwon

$165,554 Vol.

No

Antoine Massey

$97,765 Vol.

No

Elizabeth Holmes

$208,288 Vol.

No

Ghislaine Maxwell

$858,874 Vol.

No

Ryan Salame

$85,960 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,426,525
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2025, 6:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump pardon in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Changpeng Zhao" at 100%, followed by "Rudy Giuliani" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump pardon in 2025?" has generated $11.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump pardon in 2025?," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump pardon in 2025?" is "Changpeng Zhao" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rudy Giuliani" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump pardon in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.