Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$92,772,312 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 34%

Christopher Waller 10.8%

Rick Rieder 6.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$92,772,312
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$92,772,312 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 34%

Christopher Waller 10.8%

Rick Rieder 6.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$6,179,742 Vol.

43%

Kevin Warsh

$2,655,965 Vol.

34%

Christopher Waller

$2,616,808 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$1,803,576 Vol.

6%

Judy Shelton

$2,371,846 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$2,368,568 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bowman

$2,142,358 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,615,607 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$2,206,070 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,910,777 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,312,053 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$942,013 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,619,269 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$889,063 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$901,034 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$7,649,726 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,468,899 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,444,185 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,084,082 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,505,589 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,587,627 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$18,988,138 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$995,241 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$389,097 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,161,712 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$92,772,312
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.