Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$82,272,356 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 23%

Christopher Waller 10.9%

Rick Rieder 6.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,272,356
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$82,272,356 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 23%

Christopher Waller 10.9%

Rick Rieder 6.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,565,589 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$2,253,533 Vol.

23%

Christopher Waller

$2,346,048 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$1,613,481 Vol.

6%

Scott Bessent

$1,951,144 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bowman

$1,909,689 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,829,247 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$1,460,421 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,759,099 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,880,730 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,625,058 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$870,296 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,546,196 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$837,596 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$765,240 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,271,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,365,633 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,050,835 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,573,027 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,493,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$275,434 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$751,174 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$82,272,356
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.