Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$149,943,576 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 41%

Kevin Hassett 36%

Christopher Waller 13.8%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$149,943,576
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$149,943,576 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 41%

Kevin Hassett 36%

Christopher Waller 13.8%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$4,154,878 Vol.

41%

Kevin Hassett

$8,296,165 Vol.

36%

Christopher Waller

$3,441,623 Vol.

14%

Rick Rieder

$2,648,950 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$3,478,220 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$3,771,055 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,899,519 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$2,947,521 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,909,390 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$2,447,527 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$12,076,691 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,310,605 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$9,237,394 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,758,984 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,942,909 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,315,817 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,711,091 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,403,801 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,955,217 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,867,204 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,542,947 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,687,813 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$4,993,615 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$16,451,170 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$20,688,464 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$149,943,576
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.