Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Kevin Warsh 90%

Rick Rieder 5.3%

Judy Shelton 2.6%

Christopher Waller 1.8%

$299,389,455 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$13,067,455 Vol.
90%

Rick Rieder
$12,666,978 Vol.
5%

Judy Shelton
$12,490,603 Vol.
3%

Christopher Waller
$9,590,684 Vol.
2%

Kevin Hassett
$16,816,779 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$8,716,290 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$11,331,824 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$8,130,475 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,463,295 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$5,757,953 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,354,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,936,232 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,071,381 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$16,605,017 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,334,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,421,958 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,119,874 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,482,658 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,373,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,585,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,934,612 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,870,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,613,043 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$23,226,798 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$7,421,965 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 90%

Rick Rieder 5.3%

Judy Shelton 2.6%

Christopher Waller 1.8%

$299,389,455 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$13,067,455 Vol.

90%

Rick Rieder

$12,666,978 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$12,490,603 Vol.

Christopher Waller

$9,590,684 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$16,816,779 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$8,716,290 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$11,331,824 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$8,130,475 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,463,295 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$5,757,953 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,354,965 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,936,232 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,071,381 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$16,605,017 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,334,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,421,958 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,119,874 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,482,658 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,373,245 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,585,628 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,934,612 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,870,631 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,613,043 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,226,798 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$7,421,965 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$299,389,455

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?

93%

Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

40%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

100%

Beware of external links.