Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$63,954,684 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 38%

Christopher Waller 6.3%

Scott Bessent 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,954,684
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$63,954,684 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 38%

Christopher Waller 6.3%

Scott Bessent 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$3,307,559 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,470,295 Vol.

38%

Christopher Waller

$1,361,578 Vol.

6%

Scott Bessent

$1,134,305 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,049,388 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$977,525 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$973,755 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,312,793 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$994,614 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$10,726,598 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,192,788 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$663,594 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,514,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,134,077 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$944,942 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,100,717 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,317,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,481,817 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,885,376 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,108,562 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$598,991 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$63,954,684
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.