Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$60,893,331 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 48%

Kevin Hassett 40%

Christopher Waller 6.8%

Scott Bessent 1.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,893,331
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$60,893,331 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 48%

Kevin Hassett 40%

Christopher Waller 6.8%

Scott Bessent 1.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$1,381,750 Vol.

48%

Kevin Hassett

$3,192,367 Vol.

40%

Christopher Waller

$1,295,062 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,100,648 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$983,386 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$941,048 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,173,752 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$943,255 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,277,827 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$969,249 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$10,547,188 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$658,694 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$523,305 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,447,828 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,081,657 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$608,906 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,100,717 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,317,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,438,097 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,286,398 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$12,921,648 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$566,246 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$60,893,331
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.