Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$32,027,385 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 73%

Kevin Warsh 14%

Christopher Waller 4.9%

Scott Bessent 4.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,027,385
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$32,027,385 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 73%

Kevin Warsh 14%

Christopher Waller 4.9%

Scott Bessent 4.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,180,558 Vol.

73%

Kevin Warsh

$565,629 Vol.

14%

Christopher Waller

$846,347 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$659,868 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$538,293 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$447,594 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$828,705 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$915,259 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$460,079 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$523,745 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$441,414 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,006,098 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$588,277 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,621,974 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$513,019 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,378,112 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,911,933 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$976,634 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,399,840 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$293,412 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$736,783 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$105,017 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,357,537 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$460,521 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$32,027,385
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.