Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$17,919,837 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 77%

Kevin Warsh 9%

Scott Bessent 3.5%

Christopher Waller 3.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,919,837
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
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Beware of external links.

$17,919,837 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 77%

Kevin Warsh 9%

Scott Bessent 3.5%

Christopher Waller 3.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$1,851,408 Vol.

77%

Kevin Warsh

$480,274 Vol.

9%

Scott Bessent

$568,121 Vol.

4%

Christopher Waller

$734,520 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$455,453 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$376,538 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$751,798 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$369,694 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$937,434 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$384,237 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$329,150 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,608,524 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$882,849 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$482,213 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$256,991 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,885,893 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$439,337 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$968,525 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$258,887 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,354,622 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$267,291 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$715,777 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$102,004 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$37,271 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$416,028 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$17,919,837
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM