Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$42,077,686 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 37%

Christopher Waller 4.9%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,077,686
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$42,077,686 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 37%

Christopher Waller 4.9%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,566,152 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$895,790 Vol.

37%

Christopher Waller

$1,078,240 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$877,387 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$749,909 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$753,017 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,026,353 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$690,977 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,043,573 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$625,559 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,636,970 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$646,762 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$521,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,390,635 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,018,223 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$581,640 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,075,059 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,312,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,421,943 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$7,166,291 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$113,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,360,584 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$509,015 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$42,077,686
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.