Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$72,097,880 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 55%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 13.0%

Rick Rieder 4.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$72,097,880
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$72,097,880 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 55%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 13.0%

Rick Rieder 4.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,402,140 Vol.

55%

Kevin Warsh

$1,906,593 Vol.

21%

Christopher Waller

$1,962,263 Vol.

13%

Rick Rieder

$1,267,076 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$1,461,001 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,556,857 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,216,147 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,634,608 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,407,224 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,227,294 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,216,709 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$664,509 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,375,080 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$763,538 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,266 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$281,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$11,273,429 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$182,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$72,097,880
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.