Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$16,901,047 Vol.
Kevin Hassett 74%
Kevin Warsh 13%
Christopher Waller 5.4%
Scott Bessent 3.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$1,634,915 Vol.
74%
Kevin Hassett
$1,634,915 Vol.
74%
Kevin Warsh
$438,366 Vol.
13%
Kevin Warsh
$438,366 Vol.
13%
Christopher Waller
$681,209 Vol.
5%
Christopher Waller
$681,209 Vol.
5%
Scott Bessent
$522,084 Vol.
3%
Scott Bessent
$522,084 Vol.
3%
Rick Rieder
$412,753 Vol.
3%
Rick Rieder
$412,753 Vol.
3%
Michelle Bowman
$301,795 Vol.
2%
Michelle Bowman
$301,795 Vol.
2%
David Malpass
$319,043 Vol.
1%
David Malpass
$319,043 Vol.
1%
Jerome Powell
$297,465 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$297,465 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$664,484 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$664,484 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$894,632 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$894,632 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$325,288 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$325,288 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$853,280 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$853,280 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$430,234 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$430,234 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$253,563 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$253,563 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$98,659 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$98,659 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$30,253 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$30,253 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$397,453 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$397,453 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,577,318 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,577,318 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$453,557 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$453,557 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$207,665 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$207,665 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,868,374 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,868,374 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$952,283 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$952,283 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,347,770 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,347,770 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$244,366 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$244,366 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$689,506 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$689,506 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$16,901,047 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett 74%
Kevin Warsh 13%
Christopher Waller 5.4%
Scott Bessent 3.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
74%
Kevin Warsh
13%
Christopher Waller
5%
Scott Bessent
3%
Rick Rieder
3%
Michelle Bowman
2%
David Malpass
1%
Jerome Powell
<1%
Stephen Miran
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
<1%
Howard Lutnick
<1%
Judy Shelton
<1%
James Bullard
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
<1%
Barron Trump
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
<1%
Bill Pulte
<1%
Arthur Laffer
<1%
Larry Kudlow
<1%
Ron Paul
<1%
David Zervos
<1%
Philip Jefferson
<1%
Janet Yellen
<1%
Larry Lindsey
<1%
About
Resolver
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