Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$144,000,040 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 40%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 10.6%

Rick Rieder 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$144,000,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$144,000,040 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 40%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 10.6%

Rick Rieder 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$8,122,105 Vol.

40%

Kevin Warsh

$3,988,965 Vol.

40%

Christopher Waller

$3,276,051 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$2,430,163 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$3,256,844 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,787,877 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$3,536,419 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$2,223,450 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$2,768,407 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,762,086 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,762,804 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,955,458 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,261,212 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$7,800,319 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,758,342 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,182,301 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,688,547 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,288,945 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,915,823 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,866,074 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,524,985 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,397,123 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$4,993,615 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$14,758,653 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$20,688,464 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$144,000,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.