Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$47,384,655 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 4.5%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,384,655
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$47,384,655 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 4.5%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,857,599 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,060,527 Vol.

39%

Christopher Waller

$1,161,021 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$988,454 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$847,497 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$832,051 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$800,611 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,128,237 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$858,122 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$549,716 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$4,878,792 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,099,023 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$650,806 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$521,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,393,635 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,020,223 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$581,679 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,075,548 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,316,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,428,943 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$7,661,777 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$114,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$7,538,085 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$47,384,655
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.