Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Kevin Warsh 97.0%

Judy Shelton 2.1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

$402,468,188 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$30,735,651 Vol.
97%

Judy Shelton
$52,602,337 Vol.
2%

Kevin Hassett
$23,014,842 Vol.
<1%

Rick Rieder
$19,068,006 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$12,479,307 Vol.
<1%

Christopher Waller
$17,138,215 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$23,510,617 Vol.
<1%

Michelle Bowman
$15,873,587 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,575,141 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$5,966,588 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,434,975 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,974,373 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,118,186 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,385,047 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$14,816,601 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,453,589 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,146,874 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,767,401 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,565,387 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,701,250 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$21,092,343 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,895,673 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,735,663 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$23,295,798 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$9,116,399 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Politics·Jerome Powell

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 97.0%

Judy Shelton 2.1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

$402,468,188 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$30,735,651 Vol.

97%

Judy Shelton

$52,602,337 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$23,014,842 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$19,068,006 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$12,479,307 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$17,138,215 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$23,510,617 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$15,873,587 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,575,141 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$5,966,588 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,434,975 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,974,373 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,118,186 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,385,047 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$14,816,601 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,453,589 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,146,874 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,767,401 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,565,387 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,701,250 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,092,343 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,895,673 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,735,663 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,295,798 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$9,116,399 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$402,468,188

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

26%

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

78%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

70%

Beware of external links.