Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$75,913,911 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 54%

Kevin Warsh 20%

Christopher Waller 11.9%

Rick Rieder 7.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,913,911
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$75,913,911 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 54%

Kevin Warsh 20%

Christopher Waller 11.9%

Rick Rieder 7.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,976,622 Vol.

54%

Kevin Warsh

$2,034,676 Vol.

20%

Christopher Waller

$2,147,584 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,441,588 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,664,131 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,692,396 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,336,401 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,502,799 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,720,394 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,370,743 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$667,766 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$724,919 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,483,916 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$789,080 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,537,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,674 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$12,330,754 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$237,778 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,129,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$75,913,911
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.