Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$71,997,092 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 20%

Christopher Waller 13.7%

Rick Rieder 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$71,997,092
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$71,997,092 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 20%

Christopher Waller 13.7%

Rick Rieder 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,364,944 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$1,896,283 Vol.

20%

Christopher Waller

$1,951,335 Vol.

14%

Rick Rieder

$1,252,094 Vol.

6%

Scott Bessent

$1,452,802 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,548,037 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,210,470 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,634,562 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,405,294 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,226,630 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$664,509 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,375,080 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$763,538 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,266 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,214,673 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$281,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$11,273,429 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$182,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$71,997,092
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.