Harris
$478,460 Vol.
$478,460 Vol.
Nov 5, 2024
Rules
This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Created At: Oct 11, 2024, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$478,460End Date
Nov 5, 2024Created At
Oct 11, 2024, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Harris
No dispute
Final outcome: Harris
Harris
$478,460 Vol.
$478,460 Vol.
Nov 5, 2024
About
This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Volume
$478,460End Date
Nov 5, 2024Created At
Oct 11, 2024, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Harris
No dispute
Final outcome: Harris
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.