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Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI 47%

Anthropic 30%

Google 9%

xAI 6.7%

$53,062 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$53,062
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
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Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI 47%

Anthropic 30%

Google 9%

xAI 6.7%

$53,062 Vol.

Market icon

OpenAI

$8,422 Vol.

47%

Market icon

Anthropic

$7,979 Vol.

30%

Market icon

Google

$5,312 Vol.

9%

Market icon

xAI

$5,516 Vol.

7%

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DeepSeek

$8,744 Vol.

5%

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Alibaba

$4,378 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$4,000 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$3,855 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$4,856 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$53,062
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.