Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, has dominated recent briefings with updates on the prolonged partial government shutdown—now over 45 days—driven by congressional deadlock on Department of Homeland Security funding, alongside U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, including stalled negotiations and military actions. Yesterday's March 30 briefing reiterated the administration's firm stance on Iran talks and President Trump's outreach to lawmakers amid the impasse, while touching on immigration enforcement and potential disruptions like TSA chaos. With no funding resolution or ceasefire signals, the next briefing, typically scheduled daily via White House channels, will likely prioritize these foreign policy and appropriations crises, influencing trader assessments of her prepared remarks and Q&A responses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$50,447 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
President 50+ times
Yes
President 60+ times
No
President 70+ times
No
Administration 10+ times
Yes
Go ahead 5+ times
Yes
Commander-in-Chief
Yes
Left Wing
No
Fake News
No
China
Yes
TSA
Yes
Travel
Yes
Easter
Yes
Forgive / Sorry / Tardiness
No
Egg
No
Tehran
No
Houthi / Houthis
No
Hamas / Hezbollah
No
FBI
No
DOJ
No
Qatar / UAE
No
Strait of Hormuz
Yes
Obama
No
Kamala
No
$50,447 Vol.
President 50+ times
$4,911 Vol.
Yes
President 60+ times
$3,176 Vol.
No
President 70+ times
$862 Vol.
No
Administration 10+ times
$1,172 Vol.
Yes
Go ahead 5+ times
$4,587 Vol.
Yes
Commander-in-Chief
$3,413 Vol.
Yes
Left Wing
$765 Vol.
No
Fake News
$1,032 Vol.
No
China
$9,415 Vol.
Yes
TSA
$2,726 Vol.
Yes
Travel
$2,896 Vol.
Yes
Easter
$2,975 Vol.
Yes
Forgive / Sorry / Tardiness
$460 Vol.
No
Egg
$667 Vol.
No
Tehran
$1,184 Vol.
No
Houthi / Houthis
$799 Vol.
No
Hamas / Hezbollah
$1,301 Vol.
No
FBI
$943 Vol.
No
DOJ
$534 Vol.
No
Qatar / UAE
$1,746 Vol.
No
Strait of Hormuz
$3,471 Vol.
Yes
Obama
$640 Vol.
No
Kamala
$770 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, has dominated recent briefings with updates on the prolonged partial government shutdown—now over 45 days—driven by congressional deadlock on Department of Homeland Security funding, alongside U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, including stalled negotiations and military actions. Yesterday's March 30 briefing reiterated the administration's firm stance on Iran talks and President Trump's outreach to lawmakers amid the impasse, while touching on immigration enforcement and potential disruptions like TSA chaos. With no funding resolution or ceasefire signals, the next briefing, typically scheduled daily via White House channels, will likely prioritize these foreign policy and appropriations crises, influencing trader assessments of her prepared remarks and Q&A responses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 9:49 AM ET
Volume
$50,447End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 9:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, has dominated recent briefings with updates on the prolonged partial government shutdown—now over 45 days—driven by congressional deadlock on Department of Homeland Security funding, alongside U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, including stalled negotiations and military actions. Yesterday's March 30 briefing reiterated the administration's firm stance on Iran talks and President Trump's outreach to lawmakers amid the impasse, while touching on immigration enforcement and potential disruptions like TSA chaos. With no funding resolution or ceasefire signals, the next briefing, typically scheduled daily via White House channels, will likely prioritize these foreign policy and appropriations crises, influencing trader assessments of her prepared remarks and Q&A responses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Volume
$50,447End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 9:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, has dominated recent briefings with updates on the prolonged partial government shutdown—now over 45 days—driven by congressional deadlock on Department of Homeland Security funding, alongside U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, including stalled negotiations and military actions. Yesterday's March 30 briefing reiterated the administration's firm stance on Iran talks and President Trump's outreach to lawmakers amid the impasse, while touching on immigration enforcement and potential disruptions like TSA chaos. With no funding resolution or ceasefire signals, the next briefing, typically scheduled daily via White House channels, will likely prioritize these foreign policy and appropriations crises, influencing trader assessments of her prepared remarks and Q&A responses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions