Market icon

What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?

November 18 100.0%

November 13 <1%

November 14 <1%

November 15 <1%

$13,496,397 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,496,397
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 2:27 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?

November 18 100.0%

November 13 <1%

November 14 <1%

November 15 <1%

$13,496,397 Vol.

November 13

$20,267 Vol.

No

November 14

$79,623 Vol.

No

November 15

$98,258 Vol.

No

November 16

$136,861 Vol.

No

November 17

$443,859 Vol.

No

November 18

$9,333,885 Vol.

Yes

November 19

$474,679 Vol.

No

November 20

$299,796 Vol.

No

November 21

$313,645 Vol.

No

November 22

$415,132 Vol.

No

November 23

$276,282 Vol.

No

November 24

$185,231 Vol.

No

November 25

$194,879 Vol.

No

November 26

$242,212 Vol.

No

November 27

$210,503 Vol.

No

November 28

$238,417 Vol.

No

November 29

$152,289 Vol.

No

November 30+

$380,578 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$13,496,397
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 2:27 PM ET

Beware of external links.