Utah's 3rd Congressional District carries a strong Republican baseline advantage exceeding 45 points according to nonpartisan ratings, reflecting its rural and suburban voter composition across southern and eastern areas. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a roughly two-to-one margin over challenger Phil Lyman, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements from party figures. Democrat Kent Udell advanced uncontested in his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republican performance has consistently exceeded 70 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Maloy reflects this entrenched partisan edge and limited opposition visibility ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins but would require exceptional conditions to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,544 Vol.
$13,544 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
96%
Kent Udell (D)
5%
$13,544 Vol.
$13,544 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
$10,188 Vol.
96%
Kent Udell (D)
$3,355 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd Congressional District carries a strong Republican baseline advantage exceeding 45 points according to nonpartisan ratings, reflecting its rural and suburban voter composition across southern and eastern areas. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a roughly two-to-one margin over challenger Phil Lyman, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements from party figures. Democrat Kent Udell advanced uncontested in his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republican performance has consistently exceeded 70 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Maloy reflects this entrenched partisan edge and limited opposition visibility ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins but would require exceptional conditions to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$13,544End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd Congressional District carries a strong Republican baseline advantage exceeding 45 points according to nonpartisan ratings, reflecting its rural and suburban voter composition across southern and eastern areas. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a roughly two-to-one margin over challenger Phil Lyman, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements from party figures. Democrat Kent Udell advanced uncontested in his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republican performance has consistently exceeded 70 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Maloy reflects this entrenched partisan edge and limited opposition visibility ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins but would require exceptional conditions to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,544End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd Congressional District carries a strong Republican baseline advantage exceeding 45 points according to nonpartisan ratings, reflecting its rural and suburban voter composition across southern and eastern areas. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a roughly two-to-one margin over challenger Phil Lyman, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements from party figures. Democrat Kent Udell advanced uncontested in his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republican performance has consistently exceeded 70 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Maloy reflects this entrenched partisan edge and limited opposition visibility ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins but would require exceptional conditions to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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