Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman after a well-funded campaign emphasizing committee work on appropriations and natural resources. Redistricting produced a district with a substantial Republican partisan advantage exceeding 20 points on standard indexes, aligning closely with the area’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Democrat Kent Udell, the uncontested general election nominee, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Maloy reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or significant national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,544 Vol.
$13,544 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
5%
$13,544 Vol.
$13,544 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
$10,188 Vol.
95%
Kent Udell (D)
$3,355 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman after a well-funded campaign emphasizing committee work on appropriations and natural resources. Redistricting produced a district with a substantial Republican partisan advantage exceeding 20 points on standard indexes, aligning closely with the area’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Democrat Kent Udell, the uncontested general election nominee, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Maloy reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or significant national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$13,544End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman after a well-funded campaign emphasizing committee work on appropriations and natural resources. Redistricting produced a district with a substantial Republican partisan advantage exceeding 20 points on standard indexes, aligning closely with the area’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Democrat Kent Udell, the uncontested general election nominee, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Maloy reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or significant national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,544End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman after a well-funded campaign emphasizing committee work on appropriations and natural resources. Redistricting produced a district with a substantial Republican partisan advantage exceeding 20 points on standard indexes, aligning closely with the area’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Democrat Kent Udell, the uncontested general election nominee, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Maloy reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or significant national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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