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Tyler Robinson released by September 19?

Market icon

Tyler Robinson released by September 19?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$67,279 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$67,279 Vol.

On September 12, law enforcement identified Tyler Robinson as a primary suspect in Charlie Kirk's assassination and took him into custody.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is released from custody by September 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Tyler Robinson is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes."

Transporting Tyler Robinson to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective law enforcement agencies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$67,279
End Date
Sep 19, 2025
Created At
Sep 12, 2025, 9:28 AM ET
On September 12, law enforcement identified Tyler Robinson as a primary suspect in Charlie Kirk's assassination and took him into custody. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is released from custody by September 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tyler Robinson is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Transporting Tyler Robinson to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective law enforcement agencies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On September 12, law enforcement identified Tyler Robinson as a primary suspect in Charlie Kirk's assassination and took him into custody.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is released from custody by September 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Tyler Robinson is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes."

Transporting Tyler Robinson to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective law enforcement agencies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$67,279
End Date
Sep 19, 2025
Created At
Sep 12, 2025, 9:28 AM ET
On September 12, law enforcement identified Tyler Robinson as a primary suspect in Charlie Kirk's assassination and took him into custody. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is released from custody by September 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tyler Robinson is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Transporting Tyler Robinson to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective law enforcement agencies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tyler Robinson released by September 19?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tyler Robinson released by September 19?" has generated $67.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tyler Robinson released by September 19?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Tyler Robinson released by September 19?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Tyler Robinson released by September 19?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.