Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and prior cycles. Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments sustain trader consensus around these probabilities, with limited path for Democratic gains absent unforeseen events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,510 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$4,473 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and prior cycles. Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments sustain trader consensus around these probabilities, with limited path for Democratic gains absent unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$8,983Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and prior cycles. Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments sustain trader consensus around these probabilities, with limited path for Democratic gains absent unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,983Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and prior cycles. Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments sustain trader consensus around these probabilities, with limited path for Democratic gains absent unforeseen events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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