Trump announces new drug boat strike by...?
$84,136 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
December 12
$28,791 Vol.
No
December 12
$28,791 Vol.
No
December 19
$16,493 Vol.
Yes
December 19
$16,493 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$38,852 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$38,852 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Volume
$84,136End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump announces new drug boat strike by...?
$84,136 Vol.
December 12
$28,791 Vol.
No
December 19
$16,493 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$38,852 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$84,136End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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