Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?
Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?
$157,080 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 90%
3%
↑ 80%
1%
↑ 75%
2%
↑ 70%
2%
↓ 50%
32%
↓ 40%
3%
$157,080 Vol.
↑ 90%
$6,751 Vol.
3%
↑ 80%
$23,970 Vol.
1%
↑ 75%
$26,451 Vol.
2%
↑ 70%
$22,103 Vol.
2%
↓ 50%
$29,916 Vol.
32%
↓ 40%
$25,155 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-under-55-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-under-55-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-under-55-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$157,080End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions