Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Name: Precipitation in Seoul in March?
Start: 2026-03-13T17:43:34.021Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

30-35mm 31%

60mm+ 26%

40-45mm 26%

45-50mm 25%

$16,627 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<30mm

$16,549 Vol.

30-35mm

$13 Vol.

31%

35-40mm

$23 Vol.

23%

40-45mm

$9 Vol.

26%

45-50mm

$9 Vol.

25%

50-55mm

$9 Vol.

23%

55-60mm

$9 Vol.

24%

60mm+

$9 Vol.

26%

30-35mm 31%

60mm+ 26%

40-45mm 26%

45-50mm 25%

$16,627 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<30mm

$16,549 Vol.

30-35mm

$13 Vol.

31%

35-40mm

$23 Vol.

23%

40-45mm

$9 Vol.

26%

45-50mm

$9 Vol.

25%

50-55mm

$9 Vol.

23%

55-60mm

$9 Vol.

24%

60mm+

$9 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Korea Meteorological Administration seasonal outlooks and global models like ECMWF indicate near-average March precipitation for Seoul, around the 47mm climatological norm, driving trader consensus toward 30-60mm outcomes with 30-35mm leading at 29.5% implied probability amid model spread. Recent February weakening of the Siberian High and neutral ENSO conditions support moderate totals, but variability arises from jet stream fluctuations and early spring frontal passages, historically yielding ranges of 20-80mm. Low odds on <30mm (0.9%) reflect scant dry analogs in recent decades. Traders await mid-March KMA updates and daily observations, as accumulating rain events could push toward 60mm+ (26%).

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 25, 2026, 11:22 PM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitation in Seoul in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30-35mm" at 31%, followed by "40-45mm" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Precipitation in Seoul in March?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" is "30-35mm" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-45mm" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Precipitation in Seoul in March?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $16.6K traded on “Precipitation in Seoul in March?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Precipitation in Seoul in March?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 31¢ for "30-35mm" in the "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 31% chance that "30-35mm" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 31¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 69¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Precipitation in Seoul in March?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

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