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Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

$446,444 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$446,444
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:29 PM UTC
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$446,444 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson

$17,589 Vol.

100%

Ryan Coogler

$33,211 Vol.

95%

Jafar Panahi

$38,171 Vol.

77%

Chloé Zhao

$62,119 Vol.

70%

Guillermo del Toro

$86,284 Vol.

59%

Joachim Trier

$44,316 Vol.

57%

Josh Safdie

$74,278 Vol.

53%

Yorgos Lanthimos

$19,720 Vol.

9%

Kathryn Bigelow

$2,002 Vol.

8%

James Cameron

$23,475 Vol.

5%

Zach Cregger

$275 Vol.

5%

Park Chan-wook

$13,018 Vol.

4%

Jon M. Chu

$2,049 Vol.

3%

Mona Fastvold

$5,923 Vol.

3%

Noah Baumbach

$1,479 Vol.

2%

Benny Safdie

$3,359 Vol.

2%

Clint Bentley

$1,661 Vol.

1%

Anthony Maras

$659 Vol.

1%

Edward Berger

$16,858 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$446,444
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:29 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.