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Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

$443,645 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$443,645
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:29 PM UTC
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$443,645 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson

$17,474 Vol.

99%

Ryan Coogler

$33,157 Vol.

94%

Jafar Panahi

$38,033 Vol.

76%

Chloé Zhao

$59,990 Vol.

61%

Guillermo del Toro

$86,237 Vol.

59%

Joachim Trier

$44,316 Vol.

58%

Josh Safdie

$74,089 Vol.

56%

Yorgos Lanthimos

$19,713 Vol.

12%

Zach Cregger

$275 Vol.

5%

James Cameron

$23,405 Vol.

4%

Park Chan-wook

$13,018 Vol.

4%

Kathryn Bigelow

$2,002 Vol.

4%

Jon M. Chu

$2,049 Vol.

3%

Mona Fastvold

$5,923 Vol.

3%

Noah Baumbach

$1,479 Vol.

2%

Benny Safdie

$3,359 Vol.

2%

Clint Bentley

$1,661 Vol.

2%

Anthony Maras

$659 Vol.

1%

Edward Berger

$16,806 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$443,645
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:29 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.