Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Next US strike on Syria on...?

$754,854 Vol.

No US strike on Syria in 2025 89%

December 19 1.9%

December 22 1.1%

December 18 1.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET).

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$754,854
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$754,854 Vol.

Market icon

Next US strike on Syria on...?

No US strike on Syria in 2025 89%

December 19 1.9%

December 22 1.1%

December 18 1.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

December 17

$55,964 Vol.

1%

December 18

$13,163 Vol.

1%

December 19

$13,076 Vol.

2%

December 20

$44,460 Vol.

1%

December 21

$65,106 Vol.

1%

December 22

$12,709 Vol.

1%

December 23

$51,668 Vol.

1%

December 24

$136,148 Vol.

1%

December 25

$16,657 Vol.

1%

December 26

$9,929 Vol.

<1%

December 27

$11,661 Vol.

<1%

December 28

$9,021 Vol.

<1%

December 29

$9,403 Vol.

<1%

December 30

$51,090 Vol.

1%

December 31

$14,205 Vol.

1%

No US strike on Syria in 2025

$44,622 Vol.

89%

About

Volume
$754,854
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.