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Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Richard Tabor 52%

Alex Zdan 38%

Robert Lebovics 3.4%

Steven Boston 2.9%

Polymarket

$384,880 Vol.

Richard Tabor 52%

Alex Zdan 38%

Robert Lebovics 3.4%

Steven Boston 2.9%

Polymarket

$384,880 Vol.

Richard Tabor

$2,486 Vol.

52%

Alex Zdan

$2,601 Vol.

38%

Robert Lebovics

$237,832 Vol.

3%

Steven Boston

$80,208 Vol.

3%

Justin Murphy

$1,871 Vol.

3%

Natalie Rivera

$44,019 Vol.

2%

Vinnie Brand

$14,877 Vol.

1%

Alina Habba

$985 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by his recent victories in key county GOP conventions, including Somerset on March 10, Hunterdon on February 26, and Atlantic on February 21, where he defeated Alex Zdan, now at 38%. These endorsements secure favorable ballot positions via the influential county line system, boosting Tabor's frontrunner status among filed candidates following the March 23 deadline. Zdan, a former TV reporter, maintains strong support through active campaigning and recent media appearances, while lower-tier contenders like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy trail due to limited party backing. No public polls have emerged, leaving endorsements as the primary sentiment driver ahead of the primary.

Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by his recent victories in key county GOP conventions, including Somerset on March 10, Hunterdon on February 26, and Atlantic on February 21, where he defeated Alex Zdan, now at 38%. These endorsements secure favorable ballot positions via the influential county line system, boosting Tabor's frontrunner status among filed candidates following the March 23 deadline. Zdan, a former TV reporter, maintains strong support through active campaigning and recent media appearances, while lower-tier contenders like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy trail due to limited party backing. No public polls have emerged, leaving endorsements as the primary sentiment driver ahead of the primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by his recent victories in key county GOP conventions, including Somerset on March 10, Hunterdon on February 26, and Atlantic on February 21, where he defeated Alex Zdan, now at 38%. These endorsements secure favorable ballot positions via the influential county line system, boosting Tabor's frontrunner status among filed candidates following the March 23 deadline. Zdan, a former TV reporter, maintains strong support through active campaigning and recent media appearances, while lower-tier contenders like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy trail due to limited party backing. No public polls have emerged, leaving endorsements as the primary sentiment driver ahead of the primary.

Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by his recent victories in key county GOP conventions, including Somerset on March 10, Hunterdon on February 26, and Atlantic on February 21, where he defeated Alex Zdan, now at 38%. These endorsements secure favorable ballot positions via the influential county line system, boosting Tabor's frontrunner status among filed candidates following the March 23 deadline. Zdan, a former TV reporter, maintains strong support through active campaigning and recent media appearances, while lower-tier contenders like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy trail due to limited party backing. No public polls have emerged, leaving endorsements as the primary sentiment driver ahead of the primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Tabor" at 52%, followed by "Alex Zdan" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $384.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Richard Tabor" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Zdan" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.