NASA Artemis II
$164,297 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
February 7
$86,077 Vol.
<1%
February 7
$86,077 Vol.
<1%
February 28
$19,738 Vol.
67%
February 28
$19,738 Vol.
67%
March 31
$23,492 Vol.
89%
March 31
$23,492 Vol.
89%
Artemis II explodes?
$34,990 Vol.
12%
Artemis II explodes?
$34,990 Vol.
12%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the Artemis II mission explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the launch has not occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the Artemis II mission explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the launch has not occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the launch has not occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$164,297End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA Artemis II
$164,297 Vol.
February 7
$86,077 Vol.
<1%
February 28
$19,738 Vol.
67%
March 31
$23,492 Vol.
89%
Artemis II explodes?
$34,990 Vol.
12%
About
Volume
$164,297End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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