Christina Hines holds a clear edge in the MI-10 House race, an open swing seat covering southern Macomb County and parts of Oakland County previously held by Republican John James, who is running for governor. Hines secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 47 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Trump-endorsed Republican Michael Bouchard won his primary decisively at 72 percent. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 45 percent, though some forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Hines launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing her background as a former prosecutor and mother of three, highlighting cost-of-living and family issues. Traders appear to view the suburban district's demographics and midterm dynamics as favoring the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Christina Hines (D)
66%
Mike Bouchard (R)
33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Christina Hines (D)
$5,219 Vol.
66%
Mike Bouchard (R)
$2,881 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Hines holds a clear edge in the MI-10 House race, an open swing seat covering southern Macomb County and parts of Oakland County previously held by Republican John James, who is running for governor. Hines secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 47 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Trump-endorsed Republican Michael Bouchard won his primary decisively at 72 percent. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 45 percent, though some forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Hines launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing her background as a former prosecutor and mother of three, highlighting cost-of-living and family issues. Traders appear to view the suburban district's demographics and midterm dynamics as favoring the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$8,100End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Hines holds a clear edge in the MI-10 House race, an open swing seat covering southern Macomb County and parts of Oakland County previously held by Republican John James, who is running for governor. Hines secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 47 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Trump-endorsed Republican Michael Bouchard won his primary decisively at 72 percent. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 45 percent, though some forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Hines launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing her background as a former prosecutor and mother of three, highlighting cost-of-living and family issues. Traders appear to view the suburban district's demographics and midterm dynamics as favoring the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,100End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Christina Hines holds a clear edge in the MI-10 House race, an open swing seat covering southern Macomb County and parts of Oakland County previously held by Republican John James, who is running for governor. Hines secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 47 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Trump-endorsed Republican Michael Bouchard won his primary decisively at 72 percent. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 45 percent, though some forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Hines launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing her background as a former prosecutor and mother of three, highlighting cost-of-living and family issues. Traders appear to view the suburban district's demographics and midterm dynamics as favoring the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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