Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and the incumbent Jamie Raskin’s consistent dominance in fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Raskin, seeking re-election in the November general election, faces only token intraparty challengers and negligible Republican opposition in a district encompassing heavily Democratic Montgomery County suburbs. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise only from an unforeseen primary upset or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,455 Vol.
93%
共和党
$8,232 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and the incumbent Jamie Raskin’s consistent dominance in fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Raskin, seeking re-election in the November general election, faces only token intraparty challengers and negligible Republican opposition in a district encompassing heavily Democratic Montgomery County suburbs. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise only from an unforeseen primary upset or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$14,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and the incumbent Jamie Raskin’s consistent dominance in fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Raskin, seeking re-election in the November general election, faces only token intraparty challengers and negligible Republican opposition in a district encompassing heavily Democratic Montgomery County suburbs. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise only from an unforeseen primary upset or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and the incumbent Jamie Raskin’s consistent dominance in fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Raskin, seeking re-election in the November general election, faces only token intraparty challengers and negligible Republican opposition in a district encompassing heavily Democratic Montgomery County suburbs. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise only from an unforeseen primary upset or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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